Is AI a long term investment?
Key Insights. We believe there are compelling reasons why investors should embrace artificial intelligence (AI) as a long‑term investment theme. We retain our positive view on the sector for 2024—not just for AI but also for the broader technology sector in general.
Individual AI stocks can potentially offer high returns, but require taking on a lot of risk, upfront expense and research work. Another option is to invest in AI stocks via pooled exchange-traded funds that focus on AI.
The AI market is expected to top $1 trillion by the end of the decade, so the opportunity for companies and investors could be vast. The good news is that many companies are likely to thrive, thanks to AI, which should boost their earnings and, eventually, their share prices, too.
Investors should view AI as an incremental opportunitiy tacked on to the broader enterprise software and cloud computing markets, which are projected to expand at annual rates of 13.7% and 14.1%, respectively, through 2030.
The stock is expensive, but worth the premium
Shares trade at 77 times trailing-12-month earnings. Moreover, Nvidia's forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 37 is nearly double that of the S&P 500. Despite its ultra-premium valuation, I see Nvidia's stock as a solid opportunity for long-term investors.
Buffett owns two AI stocks in his Berkshire Hathaway portfolio. He has positions in six other AI leaders thanks to Berkshire subsidiary New England Asset Management.
Investing in the global equity disruption thematic requires looking past the next few quarters when setting portfolio weights. This is particularly so with AI where it may take many years to roll through companies in a range of industries. We believe that the AI thematic still has a long way to run.
AI Stock 12 Month Forecast
Based on 13 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for C3ai in the last 3 months. The average price target is $30.55 with a high forecast of $40.00 and a low forecast of $20.00. The average price target represents a 49.02% change from the last price of $20.50.
Nvidia Corporation (NVDA)
NVDA is the best-performing AI stock over the past year. Earnings per share, or EPS, had a big leap higher in 2023, and analysts project strong EPS growth going forward. It has the highest forecasted 5-year EPS growth on the list.
But that figure is expected to soar 820% to exceed $1.8 trillion by 2030. In other words, the AI market is forecast to compound at 37% annually through the end of the decade.
Is it smart to invest in artificial intelligence?
While signs suggest some elements of the AI industry could be overvalued, there are also strong fundamentals supporting the growth and sustainability of AI as a transformative technology. Investors should exercise caution, conduct thorough research, and consider long-term trends when investing in this sector.
Nvidia was the best-performing stock in the entire S&P 500 in 2023, and it's largely due to the company's AI exposure. Demand for Nvidia's high-end AI chips drove staggering 265% revenue growth and 768% net income growth for Nvidia in the fourth quarter.
![Is AI a long term investment? (2024)](https://i.ytimg.com/vi/PQVOtzQb99U/hq720.jpg?sqp=-oaymwEcCNAFEJQDSFXyq4qpAw4IARUAAIhCGAFwAcABBg==&rs=AOn4CLAfCcD8de47JibN9Ttspx7VIkmCtg)
This widespread adoption and continuous innovation make AI stocks a potentially smart investment, as companies leading in this space are likely to experience significant growth.
So, if you had invested in Nvidia ten years ago, you're likely feeling pretty good about your investment today. According to our calculations, a $1000 investment made in March 2014 would be worth $172,169.75, or a 17,116.97% gain, as of March 1, 2024.
The investment bank's robust confidence in Nvidia's trajectory shines through its elevated price target for NVDA shares, now set at an ambitious $1,000 — marking a notable increase from the prior $875 target.
Assuming Nvidia is still trading at the same forward P/E, its stock price could reach $3,360 by the end of 2030, or 328% above the current share price. That would put its market cap at over $8 trillion.
Gates' unsurprising top AI stock
You probably won't be surprised in the least by Gates' top AI stock. Almost 34% of the Gates Foundation Trust's portfolio is invested in Microsoft (MSFT 1.65%). The billionaire co-founded the technology company and served as its CEO for 25 years.
Chips Outperform Software As AI Stocks
Semiconductor companies such as Nvidia (NVDA), Arm Holding (ARM) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) remain top-performing AI stocks. Meanwhile, the PHLX Semiconductor Sector index is up 18% in 2024. Nvidia stock has surged 78% in 2024. Arm stock has jumped 75%.
Won't Rush Into "It" Stocks
Buffett famously doesn't rush into hot "it" stocks, so Nvidia wouldn't typically be his cup of tea, according to Wedbush Securities tech analyst Dan Ives. "The value-centric model makes some of these AI names not in Warren's wheelhouse (for now)," Ives said.
- Symbotic (SYM).
- MicroStrategy (MSTR).
- Nvidia (NVDA).
- C3. ai (AI).
- Meta Platforms (META).
What will AI do in 100 years?
AI Assistance in Daily Life: AI could become integrated into everyday life, providing personalized assistance in areas like education, healthcare, transportation, and entertainment. Humans might rely on AI-driven technologies for convenience and efficiency. Job Transformation: The job market may evolve significantly.
The line between the virtual and physical worlds will blur as AI-driven virtual and augmented reality technologies reach new heights. Immersive experiences will redefine entertainment, education, and even social interactions. The changes heralded by AI in 2050 are vast and transformative.
The stock holds a E Accumulation/Distribution Rating. That shows very little buying from institutional investors in recent months. Despite its many positives, Nvidia stock is not a buy right now. Because the stock is below the 50-day line, investors will need to wait until the stock forms a new base.
Stock | Expected Change in Stock Price* |
---|---|
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) | 61% |
Mastercard Inc. (MA) | 14.2% |
Salesforce Inc. (CRM) | 7.2% |
Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) | 11.3% |
AMD stock has received a consensus rating of buy. The average rating score is and is based on 79 buy ratings, 18 hold ratings, and 0 sell ratings.
References
- https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/embracing-future-ai-changes-horizon-2050-kavindu-rathnasiri-9ea9c
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- https://www.usatoday.com/money/blueprint/investing/best-ai-stocks/
- https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/nvidia-stock-will-ride-ai-wave-to-1-000-goldman-sachs-says-after-gtc-2024-1033177753
- https://www.tipranks.com/stocks/ai/forecast
- https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/investing/ai-stocks-invest-in-artificial-intelligence
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- https://money.usnews.com/investing/articles/best-growth-stocks-to-buy
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- https://www.loftuspeak.com.au/is-it-too-late-to-invest-in-ai/